Research process · repeatable and auditable

Weekly derivatives research checklist

Use the same order every week so one dramatic chart does not override missing context.

Seven-step review

  1. Price: mark weekly range, trend and invalidation levels.
  2. Open interest: note expansion or contraction versus price.
  3. Funding: compare sign, magnitude and persistence across venues.
  4. Liquidations: separate observed events from modeled concentration zones.
  5. Order flow: check whether aggressive execution confirms the move.
  6. Catalysts: record scheduled events that can change volatility.
  7. Quality: list stale, missing or venue-specific data before writing conclusions.

Output format

Write a base case, upside scenario, downside scenario and the observation that would invalidate each. This is research discipline, not a buy or sell recommendation.

A worked research note without invented history

Hypothetical observations: price rises from $60,000 to $63,000, base OI remains 10,000 BTC and the USD valuation moves from $600 million to $630 million. Write “USD OI increased with price while base-unit exposure was unchanged”, not “5% new capital entered”. Funding is a separate settlement-rate observation; a bright modeled liquidation band is not an executed liquidation.

For a real dated note, preserve both original snapshots, observation times, source coverage and units using the existing recap export. Record missing fields as missing. Include a base explanation and an alternative, plus what data would distinguish them. The example above is educational and must not enter the dated recap archive as an observed result.

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